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Redskins -2.5

Time Stamped Release Dec 09, 2012 - 12:00 AM
I hadn't been sold on the Redskins and RG III and I still might not be until he plays a top defense again. Since their bye week when they instituted more of the pistol offense they have clicked particularly on third downs where they are converting 48.39% of them over the last three. They are also clicking because Griffin has completed 73% of his passes for 9 TD and 1 INT for a 140 QB rating over the last three games.

The Ravens are not a top defense. Despite being #1 in the red zone for TD%, this defense is significantly over rated. They just gave up 276 yards on 69% completions to Charlie Batch in a losing effort. The Ravens have also showed at times that they can't stop the run and now they are facing an offense that can do both. I'm not calling for a blow out here as the Ravens defense has been good at times, but their offense has yet to pick up the slack and Joe Flaco has really struggled on the road. I see no signs of that changing here today. Baltimore has scored just 16% TD's in their last 3 games in the red zone.
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